India's forex reserves near $500 bn, but RBI won't let ...

In 1947, India had just Rs 1500 crore cash. Today, we are about to cross $500 billion in foreign reserves. We have come a long way

In 1947, when India got independence, we had just Rs 1500 crore in cash with us, and even paying Rs 55 crore to Pakistan was a big deal. Mahatma Gandhi had to keep a day's fast to convince Vallabhbhai Patel to transfer Rs 55 crore to Pakistan.
Then we started storing foreign reserves to the calamity and emergency.
In 1960, India had foreign reserves of $1.46 billion, which could have lasted just 8 weeks of import.
In 1980, India had foreign reserves of $7 billion
In 1991, India's foreign reserves dipped to an alarming level of just $1.2 billion, which could have lasted just 3 weeks of imports. RBI had to pledge 46.91 tonnes of gold with the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan, and raised $400 million to deal with the unprecedented crisis
In 2004, for the first time, we achieved foreign reserves of $100 billion
Due to solid performance of our foreign reserves, we somehow navigated the recession of 2009, and our foreign reserves stood at $270 billion
And now, for the first time in our history, India will have $500 billion of foreign reserves. As of now, we have $493 billion, which is enough to sustain 17 months of imports.
We are right now world's 3rd biggest nation with foreign reserves, after China and Japan.
India has indeed come a long way from having just Rs 1500 crore in cash to pledging Gold to sustain the economy, to crossing half a trillion-dollar of foreign reserves.
Sources: 1 2 3 4 5
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The World This Week 10th July 2020 – 17th July 2020

Indian Equity Summary-
· Sensex ended higher by 1.2 percent as the bullish trend persisted for the fifth consecutive week in the domestic equity market ,on the back ofØ positive global cues and optimism over the development of Covid-19 vaccine .The focus is now turning to Q1FY21 earning season and more importantly for guidance and viewpoints of management.
· Going forward, global factors like development on the US -China relationship front , any resurgence of Covid-19 cases globally, as economiesØ have started opening up ; will continue to dictate the trend of the domestic equity market. We expect the trading range for Nifty between 10800-11200 in the near term.
Indian Debt Market-
· The bond prices fell as the yield on the latest 10-year benchmark 5.79% 2030 paper settled at 5.80% on Jul 17 compared with 5.76% on Jul 10.Ø
· Reserve Bank of India announces the auction of three Government of India 91day, 182 day and 364 day Treasury Bills for an aggregate amount ofØ ₹35,000, to be conducted on 22nd July 2020.
· State Governments announced to sell securities by way of an auction to be conducted on 21th July 2020, for an aggregate face value of ₹ 9,000 Cr.Ø
· We expect that RBI will be in wait and watch mood before taking any major decision of rate cut on the back of recent inflation print.Ø
· We expect the 10 year benchmark yield to trade between 5.80-6.05% in near term.Ø
Domestic News
· India’s retail trade has suffered a business loss of about Rs 15.5 lakh crore in past 100 days due to the COVID-19 pandemic as per theØ Confederation of All India Traders (CAIT).
· The Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) from the US to India has crossed the $40 billion mark as on year to date, reflecting the growing confidence ofØ American companies in the country.
· Forex reserves rose by $3.1 billion on a WoW basis to hit a record high of $516.36 billion for the week ended July 10, according to Reserve BankØ of India (RBI).
· According to the latest data released by the Ministry of StatisticsØ & Programme Implementation (MoSPI), India’s retail inflation(CPI) grew to 6.09% in the month of June as against the prior released figure of 5.84 in April for the month of March.
International News
· Hong Kong's April-June unemployment rises to 6.2%, being the highest in over 15 years.Ø
· Japan’s exports plunged 26.2% in June while Imports fell by 14.4% in June on a year on year basis , as per the data released byØ Ministry of Finance (MOF).
· Foreign direct investment (FDI) into China fell 1.3% in the first half of this year from a year earlier to 472.18 billion yuan ($67.47Ø billion)as per China’s commerce ministry.
· Gross domestic product (GDP) of China rose to 3.2% in the second-quarter from a year earlier as per the National Bureau ofØ Statistics, faster than the 2.5% forecast by analysts in a Reuters poll, with the easing of lockdown measures and ramping up of stimulus by policymakers to combat the virus-led downturn.
· US GDP is expected to contract by an annualised rate of 37% in the Q2 2020 and by 6.6%for 2020 as a whole as per theØ International Monetary Fund (IMF) staff.
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Questions on fiscal prudence that we should all be asking our central government.

Please add on as you deem fit. Immediately below are those that seem necessary to me.
1) Real Fiscal Deficit Numbers: The fiscal deficit number and target shared in the budget presentation did not take into account independent lending by govt orgs such as,
Food Corporation of India: Has been borrowing for the last 3 years. Has not been paid by the govt during this time. While FCI has released some figures, what is the total amount it has borrowed?
Same with orgs such as NABARD, PFC, Fertilizer corp, and so many other that we don't even know about.
2) Real financial state of orgs like LIC, National Small Savings Fund: These are the orgs that fund the loans of the govt as well as Food Corp, Fertilizer Corp etc.
What do their respective balance sheets truly look like? How much money did LIC really lend to banks and NBFIs over the years, that is now considered NPA?
3) RBI related questions:
As the RBI had increased SLR (CRR for that matter) requirements for commercial banks, and policy dictated that (public) banks store that money in govt securities; can the govt tell us how much this total amount is? And why it forces banks to behave this way?
And more broadly, does the govt understand that forcing banks to park their money this way, and simultaneously crowding out private lending by taking such huge loans from govt orgs and banks; is an important part of why successive RBI interest cuts have no meaningful impact in reducing commercial rate for lending?
4) Another RBI question: The RBI continues to build up its forex reserves. (approx $471 Billion as of last week); even though multiple experts (including some RBI folk) have said that beyond a point, trying to use reserves to stem a money outflow will be futile. Many have said that around 450 billion is already beyond sufficient in our current situation.
And, not allowing for natural adjustment/strengthening of the Rupee right now may lead to risky situations if the global outlook does turn negative. Rupee continues to be a Last Money In, First Money Out segment for more foreign investors, and is the govt prepared to risk a SE Asia-like currency crises, just so that the RBI has more reserves, a part of which the govt can quietly gobble up?
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Indian Financial Sector

As negotiations to finalise the long-overdue Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) enter final stages, Prime Minister Modi said India has put forward reasonable proposals in a clear manner and is engaged in the talks with sincerity for the free trade deal. Modi said India is clear that a mutually beneficial RCEP, in which all sides gain reasonably, is in interests of the country and of all nations involved in the negotiation.
-Business Line
A day after SEBI put in place tighter disclosure norms, Indian Bank, Union Bank of India and Lakshmi Vilas Bank on Friday reported divergence in their bad loans for the last fiscal ended March 2019. For LVB, the net loss widened to Rs 1,006 crore from Rs 894 crore.
-Economic Times
The RBI has rejected a proposal by ICICI Bank for appointment of Sandeep Batra as an executive director (ED) after SEBI penalised him in a case related to merger of Bank of Rajasthan.“The Bank has received a communication from RBI not acceding to the request for appointment of Batra at present and to resubmit the proposal for approval after one year from the conclusion of settlement proceedings,” ICICI Bank said in a regulatory filing late on Friday night.
-Business Line
The RBI has refused to relent on its guidelines requiring chief executives of private banks to mandatorily retire at the age of 70, setting the stage for Aditya Puri to step down as HDFC Bank MD & CEO next October, while Romesh Sobti will retire as IndusInd Bank chief at the end of the financial year.
-Economic Times
PSBs are talking to the RBI under the aegis of the IBA to allow a staggered recognition of deferred tax assets (DTA) for FY20 in order to avoid taking large hits on their bottomlines. “We are assessing the matter and even the RBI and IBA are talking about it,” said an executive aware of the development.
-Financial Express
US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin met RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das in the financial capital today. The two discussed “global and domestic macro-economic scenario in both countries and regulatory developments”, according to an official statement from the central bank.
-Business Line
The global investor which has submitted a binding bid to invest $1.2 billion in Yes Bank is a North American family office that is interested in picking up more than a third of the bank’s shareholding. “We have a nondisclosure agreement with the investor. The bank’s capital-raising committee could meet as early as next week to decide on the proposal and, should they approve it, the name will be made public,” said Yes Bank MD & CEO Ravneet Gill.
-Economic Times
Karur Vysya Bank has posted a 24.37% dip in its standalone net profit for the second quarter ended September 2019 to ₹63.33 crore compared with the corresponding year-ago period on higher provisioning.
-The Hindu
Lakshmi Vilas Bank, in a regulatory filing, said Non-Executive Non-Independent Director Anuradha Pradeep has resigned from the board.
-Business Standard
India’s GDP could grow 6.6% in 2020-24, lower than its 2013-17 average of 7.4%, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) said today.
-Economic Times
China's Fosun Tourism Group said it would acquire the Thomas Cook and related hotel brands for 11 million pounds in a bid to expand its presence in the tourism business.
-Economic Times
A 65 Year olddepositor of the scam-hit Punjab & Maharashtra Cooperative (PMC) Bank died due to a heart attack in neighboring Navi Mumbai, her family said. Kuldeep Kaur Vig (64) is the seventh PMC Bank depositor to have died after the alleged ₹4,355 crore scam at the bank came to light and the RBI imposed restrictions on withdrawal of funds.
-Livemint
NPCI on November 1 said the number of transactions of Unified Payments Interface (UPI) has crossed the landmark figure of 1 billion in October. "The total transactions of UPI jumped to 1.15 billion in October 2019 from 0.96 billion in September 2019," NPCI said in a release. Total transaction value of UPI stood at Rs 1.91 lakh crore during the month, up from Rs 1.61 lakh crore in the previous month.
-Moneycontrol.com
India's forex reserves increased by $1.832 billion to a new lifetime high of $442.583 billion in the week ended October 25, helped by a jump in core currency assets and value of gold, RBI data showed on November 1. The overall kitty had expanded by $1.04 billion to $440.751 billion in the previous reporting week.
-Moneycontrol.com
 -#021119 
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Indian Financial Sector

Indian consumers appear to show zero loss of appetite for cash despite Government’s numerous efforts to wean them away from currency notes and get them to transact digitally. Currency in circulation in India in the fortnight to July 5 was Rs 21.1 lakh crore, as against Rs 18.7 lakh crore in the same period last year, translating into growth of 13%.
-Economic Times
Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman today said Government has de-registered 4 lakh shell companies as the Lok Sabha approved a bill seeking to tighten CSR norms and ensuring stricter action for non- compliance of the Co law regulations. Piloting the Companies Amendment Bill 2019, the minister said companies not spending the mandatory 2% profit on Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) activites for a total period of 4 years will be required to deposit the amount in a special account.
-Economic Times
RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das has expressed concerns over the impact of stressed trade negotiations and rising geopolitical tensions on global economy while backed the building up of forex reserves by emerging economies as safe-guard against global contagion.
-Economic Times
Punjab National Bank today reported a net profit of Rs 1,019 crore as compared to a net loss of Rs 940 crore recorded in the same quarter last fiscal.
-Business Line
The New Delhi-based agri services solutions firm Sohan Lal Commodity Management (P) Ltd said today that it entered into an agreement with SBI for collateral management and warehousing services. As part of the pact, SLCM will act as custodian of the commodities that SBI has taken as a security against loans, said a press statement.
-Business Line
The South Indian Bank has achieved a net profit of ₹73.26 crore in Q1 of FY19, against ₹23.04 crore during the corresponding period of the previous year. The bank’s operating profit has also grown to ₹317.63 crore from ₹269.64 crore.
-Business Line
The Mumbai bench of the NCLT, on Thursday, put a stay on its own order which had allowed the government’s plea to prosecute IL&FS’ erstwhile auditor, Deloitte.
-Business Line
Union Home Minister Amit Shah received a dividend cheque of Rs 15.26 crore from the representatives of the Repco Bank, a multi state cooperative finance and development bank controlled by the Home Ministry. The Repco Bank is a multi state cooperative society established in 1969 by the Central Government for rehabilitation of repatriates from Myanmar and Sri Lanka, an official statement said.
-Economic Times
Indian authorities are concerned that WhatsApp’s payment service might share user data with group companies Facebook & Instagram, compromising the security, privacy and non-commercial information of its subscribers. The Government has asked the NPCI to look into the matter and ensure that user data collected through payment services such as WhatsApp and Google Pay is not shared, top officials said.
-Economic Times
Muthoot Finance has halted gold loan processing and disbursal in several branches for about 3 days from Thursday. The NBFC did not respond to a query on the likely impact of the halt in gold loan disbursal on its business. It may be noted that the RBI had said earlier this week that it was seeing ‘signs of fragility’ and that it was constantly watching 50 NBFCs, including large ones.
-Business Line
USD/INR 68.89
SENSEX 37882.79 (+51.81)
NIFTY50 11284.30(+32.15)
 -#260719 
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Indian Financial Sector

The Central Government has been holding meetings with Asian Development Bank, World Bank, and German state-owned development bank KfW for access to low-cost capital to Indian MSMEs, according to MSME minister Nitin Gadkari. The comments gain significance as lack of capital is the biggest challenge for the growth of MSMEs.
-Financial Express
The RBI today asked banks to link all new floating-rate loans for housing, personal and MSMEs to external benchmark based interest rate from 1 Oct, in a bid to allow faster transmission of its rate cuts to consumers. It has been observed that due to various reasons, the transmission of policy rate changes to the lending rate of banks under the current MCLR framework has not been satisfactory, the RBI said in a statement.
-Livemint
PSBs can now create Chief General Manager (CGM) posts as per their business needs. The Department of Financial Services (DFS) in the Finance Ministry granted the flexibility to all nationalised banks. CGM posts (in a fresh scale termed as scale VIII) can be created (with Board approval) in nationalised banks that have total business of ₹10 lakh crore or higher, sources said. Such CGMs will act as an administrative and functional layer between the existing levels of General Manager and Executive Director. The number of CGM posts created should not exceed the ratio of 1:4 between the total number of posts of CGM and GM.
-Budiness Line
The RBI-constituted task-force on developing a vibrant secondary market for corporate loans has called for setting up a central loan contract registry to remove information asymmetries between buyers and sellers. The 6-member task force, headed by Canara Bank chairman TN Manoharan, was formed to examine the scope for developing a secondary market for corporate loans and make recommendations to facilitate rapid development of such a vibrant market.
-Business Standard
Global rating agency Moody's on September 4 upgraded the outlook on Punjab National Bank, which will merge OBC and United Bank of India with itself, to 'positive' from 'stable'. It also affirmed the local and foreign currency deposit ratings of Canara Bank, OBC, Syndicate Bank and Union Bank at Baa3/P-3.
-Moneycontrol.com
Canara Bank today said its board will meet next week to consider capital infusion of up to Rs 9,000 crore through issuance of preferential equity shares to the government of India. The board will also consider amalgamation of Syndicate Bank with it, the Bank said in a regulatory filing.
-Moneycontrol.com
HR integration will be the top priority in the merger of Syndicate Bank with Canara Bank and branch rationalisation would be looked at only after all aspects of integration are completek, . Syndicate Bank’s MD & CEO Mrutyunjay Mahapatra said. He saidthat the merger process will not slow down business.
-Economic Times
Canara Bank MD & CEO R A Sankara Narayanan, told that there would not be any loss of employment after merger. He had also confirmed that both the banks will stick to business projections and have a dedicated team to focus on integration without affecting normal business.
-Economic Times
LIC, that has seen its investment in IDBI Bank erode by more than half over the past year or so, has also seen the value of its investments in other PSU banks plunge. The sharp fall in the price of PSU bank stocks and dilution of its stake owing to capital infusion by the government, has eroded its wealth in these banks. LIC has lost over Rs 17,000 crore of its wealth in PSBs over the past year. Excluding IDBI Bank, it has lost over ₹4,800 crore in other PSBs.
-Business Line
ICICI Bank has cut its lending rates by 0.10% across all maturities, sources said on Sep 4. Under the revised rates, effective Sep 1, the bank's 1-year MCLR will come down to 8.55%, while the overnight MCLR will be 8.30%.
-Moneycontrol.com
Bank of Baroda will raise up to Rs 1,132.05 crore by issuing fresh shares to its staff under the Employee Share Purchase Scheme (ESPS), the bank said. Bank of Baroda will raise up to Rs 1,132.05 crore by issuing fresh shares to its staff under the ESPS, the bank said. The decision was taken by the compensation committee of the board at its meeting held on Tuesday, the bank said in a regulatory filing. decision was taken by the compensation committee of the board at its meeting held on Tuesday, the bank said in a regulatory filing.
-Moneycontrol.com
YES Bank has settled a case pertaining to ‘selective disclosure’ of assets quality with market regulator SEBI. The Bank settled the matter under the so-called consent mechanism paying Rs 51.6 lakh as settlement charges. Yes Bank’s compliance officer Shivanand Shettigar paid another Rs 14.45 lakh as settlement charges in the same matter.
-Business Standard
Wipro has received a long-term $300 million contract from ICICI Bank to provide digital technology led services. The Co said in a filing to the BSE that it has secured a strategic 7-year engagement from the bank.
-Economic Times
Digital payments saw significant growth in August, with the Unified Payments Interface (UPI) and IMPS touching record highs in terms of both volumes and number of transactions, while payments on BHIM also rose to a 10-month high.
-Business Line
Rating agency CRISIL today cut India’s fiscal year 2020 GDP growthforecast to 6.3% from its earlier forecast of 6.9%, after the economy grew 5% in the first quarter, it’s slowest in almost 6 years. The agency said that lower GDP growth forecast corroborates that India’s economic slowdown is deeper and more broad-based than suspected.
-Economic Times
Even as gross NPA are expected to come down marginally by end of ongoing fiscal, assets over Rs 1 lakh crore that are under pressure are still to be recognised as bad loans, a report by ASSOCHAM- CRISIL said.
-Financial Express
BSNL is monetising land assets to improve revenue while cutting operational costs in the absence of revival package from the government, according to chairman Pravin Kumar Purwar. The telco is looking at cutting its workforce by nearly half once the Centre approves its much-awaited voluntary retirement scheme, Purwar told.
-Economic Times
Rising gold prices have prompted the RBI to apply the brakes to its purchase of the metal as a forex reserve asset. After the last offtake of 5.6 tonnes this April, the apex bank has not made any fresh purchases. According to the data from the International Monetary Fund's International Financial Statistics (IFS), RBI has been holding 618 tonnes of gold as part of its forex reserves since April this year.
-Business Standard
USD/INR 72.12
SENSEX 36724.74(+161.83)
NIFTY50 10844.65(+46.75)
 -#040919 
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Indian Financial Sector

MPs, state legislatures, or local bodies such as municipal corporations cannot be on the boards of public sector banks. Also, partners of chartered accountancy firms engaged as statutory central auditors at any PSB cannot join the boards of these banks, RBI said in an updated circular on fit and proper criteria in PSBs.
-Economic Times
The RBI clarified that banks and NBFCs cannot impose foreclosure charges / pre-payment penalties on any floating rate term loan sanctioned, for purposes other than business, to individual borrowers with or without co-obligant(s). The RBI has done away with foreclosure charges /pre-payment penalties on all floating rate term loans sanctioned to individual borrowers with effect from May 7, 2014.
-Business Line
IMPS is gaining traction and the number of transactions rose to 19 crores in July even as the transaction value for UPI and the Centre’s flagship digital payment app BHIM continued to decline for the second straight month. According to data released by the NPCI, IMPS hit a record high in July in terms of value, too. As many as 18.92 crore transactions amounting to over ₹1.82-lakh crore were conducted through IMPS in July against 17.13 crore transactions worth over ₹1.73-lakh crore in June.
-Business Line
Clearcorp Dealing Systems India Ltd (Clearcorp), a wholly owned subsidiary of Clearing Corporation of India Ltd, will launch its forex trading platform, FX-Retail, for the customers of banks on Aug 5. The FX-Retail platform will provide an anonymous and order driven dealing in US Dollar (USD) / Indian Rupee (INR) currency pair for bank customers -- individuals, sole proprietorship firms, partnership firms and corporates, Clearcorp said in a statement.
-Business Line
Corporation Bank registered a net profit of ₹103.27 crore in the first quarter of 2019-20 as against a profit of ₹84.96 crore in the corresponding period of the previous fiscal, recording a growth of 21.55%.
-Business Line
SBI today said the RBI has imposed a penalty of Rs 50 lakh on it for non-compliance relating to reporting of frauds.
-Economic Times
Oriental Bank of Commerce & Punjab National Bank today said the RBI has imposed a penalty of Rs 50 lakhs on them for non-compliance relating to reporting of frauds in the Kingfisher Airlines account.
-Economic Times
Bandhan Bank would open 187 new branches by the end of the current FY, taking the total number to 1,187, a top official said today. The bank would also open 340 doorstep service centres by 2019-20, MD & CEO Chandra Sekhar Ghosh said.
-Economic Times
Punjab & Sind Bank said it has declared NPA account Fairdeal Supplies Ltd as a fraud and has reported the matter to the RBI, it said in a regulatory filing.
-Economic Times
LIC Housing Finance reported an 8% increase in standalone net profit at ₹611 crore in the first quarter (Q1FY20) against ₹568 crore in the year-ago period.
-Business Line
Former RBI Governor Duvvuri Subbarao on Friday said that any government trying to “raid” the balance sheet of a central bank can be seen as a desperate move.
-Business Line
A spate of reforms undertaken by the Government has led to the current slowdown in the country, Amitabh Kant, the CEO of policy think-tank NITI Aayog, said. This came as a note of caution from the senior official as he was advocating a series of policy decisions to revive the economy.
-The Hindu
The country's forex reserves decreased by $727 million to $429.649 billion for the week ended July 26, led by a decline in foreign currency assets, RBI data showed on Friday.
-Moneycontrol.com
As the Rajya Sabha passed the Code on Wages, 12 Central Trade Unions, except the BMS, held protest across the country demanding the Centre to withdraw the proposed Labour Codes. Terming the 4 proposed codes anti-labour, the trade unions alleged that the Bills are being passed without any tripartite negotiations with trade unions, chambers of commerce and the Governments. They alleged that there is a conspiracy to take away the right to work for 8 hours and give the power to the State governments and the Centre to set working hours.
-Business Line
 -#030819 
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Indian Financial Sector

In a bid to deal with stress in NBFC sector, guidelines will be issued soon for PSBs to take over pooled assets of NBFCs, a finance ministry official said. "Both Department of Economic Affairs, and Financial Services are in consultation. The eligibility norms for takeover should be out this week or latest by next week," the official said.
The RBI will come out with a mobile application to help visually challenged people in identifying currency notes. The RBI said that identification of banknote denomination is key to successful completion of cash-based transactions by visually impaired persons.
-Business Line
SBI Payment Services Pvt Ltd (SBIPSPL) is planning to double the number of point-of-sale (PoS) units deployed by it to 1.2 million by 2021- 22 (FY 22). This is part of the Co’s strategy to be a key player in the Centre’s ambitious plan to increase the number of PoS terminals across the country.
-Business Standard
Led by LIC, life insurers’ collective new premium income jumped 94% to ₹32,241.33 crore in June this year, according to data from IRDAI. All the 24 life insurers had written new gross premium of ₹16,611.57 in the same month a year ago.
-Business Line
Dewan Housing Finance Corporation Ltd (DHFL) reported a huge standalone net loss of Rs 2223 crore in the fourth quarter ended March 31, 2019 against a net profit of Rs 134 crore in the year ago quarter.
-Business Line
Dewan Housing Finance Corp Ltd (DHFL), warned that its financial situation was so grim that it may not survive. The Co said it was "undergoing substantial financial stress" and its ability to raise funds was "substantially impaired and the business has been brought to a standstill with there being minimal/virtually no disbursements."
-Economic Times
Thomas Cook has refuted allegations that an investigation is underway concerning its forex business breaching the Rs 14.7 crore foreign exchange reserve mark at the Cochin International Airport. As per media reports, the Air Customs Intelligence department had initiated an enquiry against Thomas Cook and had written to the RBI demanding cancellation of the Co's license after an alleged 'misappropriation' occurred while granting foreign exchange to foreign nationals at the Cochin International Airport.
-Economic Times
9 of the 10 most valued firms suffered a combined erosion of ₹ 88,609.87 crore in market valuation last week, with HDFC Bank and TCS taking the biggest knock. Reliance Industries Ltd was the lone gainer among the top-10 frontline companies, adding ₹ 11,415.21 crore to its market capitalisation (m-cap) for the week ended Friday to reach ₹ 8,11,782.20 crore. On the other hand, HDFC Bank’s valuation plummeted ₹ 22,395.4 crore to ₹ 6,54,084.95 crore. The valuation of SBI tanked ₹ 6,291.85 crore to ₹ 3,24,454.25 crore and that of ICICI Bank dropped ₹ 5,925.68 crore to ₹ 2,75,568.83 crore.
-Business Line
 -#140719 
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Indian Financial Sector

Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman today said the NBFC crisis seems to have bottomed out and the Government along with the RBI will closely monitor the situation to ensure that the sector comes out of the wood. -Economic Times
In fresh trouble for Nirav Modi, the Pune bench of the debt recovery tribunal (DRT) has issued a recovery certificate and has directed the Nirav Modi to pay over Rs 7,200 crore to Punjab National Bank (PNB) and others. Today, the Pune bench of DRT, which also holds additional charge of Mumbai, passed an order in two cases filed by PNB. The presiding officer, Deepak Thakkar, has allowed the petitions filed by the PNB. -Economic Times
Punjab National Bank said today it has detected a fraud of more than Rs 3,800 crore by Bhushan Power & Steel Ltd (BPSL) and has reported it to the RBI. PNB said Bhushan Power & Steel Ltd misappropriated bank funds and manipulated its books of accounts to raise funds from consortium lender banks. -Economic Times
India’s foreign exchange (forex) reserves swelled by $1.262 billion to scale a fresh high of $427.678 billion in the week to June 28, boosted by higher foreign portfolio investments and a stable rupee, RBI data showed. -Business Line
Acting quickly on the government's second attempt to sell the financially-crippled Air India, its chief Ashwani Lohani has called a meeting of all the 13 unions Monday to discuss the terms of privatisation, according to sources. -Economic Times
 -#060719 
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Indian Financial Sector

The Centre Government has nominated 7 directors, commonly referred as RBI directors, to the Boards of various PSBs. The nominees are R Kesavan in Canara Bank (in place of Ms Uma Shankar), S.C.Murmu in Bank of India (in place of R Sebastian), Arun Kumar Singh in Union Bank of India (in place of A.K.Misra), Thomas Mathew in Central Bank of India (in place of Sekhar Bhatnagar), G.P.Borah in Syndicate Bank (in place of R N Kar), S K Panigrahy in Indian Bank (in place of J K Dash) and Sadhana Varma in United Bank of India (in place of Arnab Roy). -Business Line
The RBI will shortly issue new "greenish yellow" Rs 20 currency notes in the Mahatma Gandhi (New) series, the central bank said in a notification dated April 26. The new Rs 20 notes will bear signature of the Reserve Bank's governor Shaktikanta Das. -Economic Times
5 years after its launch, the Pradhan Mantri Jan Dhan Yojana (PMJDY) scheme has almost achieved a total balance of ₹1-lakh crore.According to the latest data, the total balance in these basic bank accounts stood at ₹99,752 crore with 35.50 crore beneficiaries. PSBs have the lion’s share in total balance at ₹79,177 crore, followed by RRBs and private sector banks maintaining ₹17,648 crore and ₹2,926 crore, respectively. -Business Line
Bank of Baroda is going in for organisation structure revamp to improve the overall efficiency of operations and have better control and monitoring mechanisms in the combined entity. For this purpose, this bank—which now in all has 9447 branches—-has decided to introduce a new layer in the organisational hierarchy by creating a position of General Manager—-Chief Coordination. -Business Line
Liquidity conditions could remain tight till the end of May even though the RBI has conducted 2 forex swap auctions in a month, according to the SBI’s Ecowrap report. It has pegged a liquidity deficit of ₹75,000 crore to ₹1-lakh crore at least till the end of the general elections. -Business Line
The National Commission for Protection of Child Rights has written to the chief secretaries of all states and Union Territories asking them to stop the sale of Johnson & Johnson baby shampoo in their respective states and also remove the product from stock of the shops in view of the findings of the sample testing report from the Rajasthan Drug Control Officer. -Economic Times
 -#270419 
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WHAT IS FOREX TRADE IN INDIA – KNOW IN DETAILS

Forex trade India defined as trading in foreign currency. Investors invest to take advantage of currency trading in the short and medium term. Indian exchanges like NSE, BSE, MCX-SX trade forex and forex trade India is legal, only if it is through registered Indian forex brokers. The main currency pairs are EURINR, USDINR, JPYINR and GBPINR. You can also trade with the help of brokers but they should have membership in mentioned exchanges.

How Does Forex Trading from India Work?

Forex trading is the same as equity trading. In forex trading exchange rate matters but in equity trading rate of shares matters. Further, investors can buy or sell their currency pair as per movement in currencies.

Some Examples To Understand Forex Trade India clearly:

Must Read: ULIP RETURNS IN 10 YEARS- HOW GOOD AS AN INVESTMENT OPTION?

Available Forex Trading Brokers in India

Foreign currency trading is done with registered Indian brokers. The most common exchanges are the NSE (National Stock Exchange) and MCX-SX (Multi-Commodity Exchange). COMEX is used as regulators at the international level exchange. RBI and SEBI regulate currency market.

Some of the best Forex brokers:

Risk In Forex Trading

Forex trade in India may not suit everyone and carries a high-level risk. Before investing in forex trading you should know your risk-carrying capacity, investment objectives and level of experience. If you are interested in forex trading then you should take advice from a financial advisor.

How Are Currency Prices Determined?

Various political and economic conditions are responsible for the change in currency prices. But, apart from these, international trade, interest rates, political stability and inflation are also responsible for currency prices. Many times governments also participate in the foreign exchange market to affect the value of their currency. They do this by lower or raise the price of their domestic market. These factors are highly responsible for currency prices.
Must Read: SMALL FINANCE BANK IN INDIA
Therefore if you know your objectives then you can make money by forex trade in India. Some examples of hard currencies are – the Euro, the US Dollar, the Japanese Yen, and the Pound. The central bank of the country like Federal Reserve Bank of US, Reserve Bank of India etc. issues the currency for every country.
Some investors have a myth that only the US dollar in the base currency in currency trading. But it is not necessary you can use any currency as the base currency. So the investors who are looking for forex trade India should know their aims and then only invest in this.
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Indian Financial Sector

The RBI asked banks to ensure their ATMs are grouted to a wall, pillar, or floor by Sep-end, except those installed in high secured premises such as airports, to enhance security of the cash vending machines. In 2016, the RBI had set up a Committee on Currency Movement (CCM) to review the entire gamut of security of treasure in transit. Based on the recommendations of the panel, the RBI has now issued the instructions aimed at mitigating risks in ATM operations and enhancing security. -Economic Times
The RBI has promoted Rabi N Mishra as the central bank’s executive director, after the position fell vacant on Rosemary Sebastian’s retirement, sources said. Mishra was principal chief general manager of the bank’s risk management department. As ED, Mishra would be looking after the newly-created specialised supervisory and regulatory cadre within the RBI. -Business Standard
The National Financial Reporting Authority (NFRA), the newly created regulator for auditors, has begun full-fledged investigations into the audit failure at IL&FS after taking over the job from the Institute of Chartered Accountants of India (ICAI) in April this year. -Economic Times
The Anti-Corruption Bureau has registered a case against the city's Deputy Mayor Sheikh Imran and officials of the Jammu and Kashmir Bank for alleged illegal appropriation of crores of rupees from the state exchequer, a spokesman said today. -Moneycontrol.com
India’s goods exports grew 3.93% to $29.99 billion in May (year-on-year) following a growth in many key sectors such as engineering goods, iron ore and leather products, even as shipments of gems & jewellery and petroleum products declined. Imports were 7.76% higher at $45.35 billion during the month widening the trade deficit to $15.36 billion, compared to $14.62 billion in the same month last year. Gold imports in May posted an increase of 37.43% to $4.78 billion. -Business Line
Inching closer to its historic peak, India’s forex kitty increased by $1.68 billion to $423.55 billion for the week to June 7, RBI data showed on Friday. The foreign exchange reserves had increased by $1.87 billion to $421.86 billion in the previous reporting week. -Business Line
The rate of interest on SB deposits needs to be revised upwards by at least 2% and interest on fixed deposits should be exempted from the purview of income tax, according to suggestions made by the AIBEA to the Finance Minister. The association said banks should extend agriculture loan at the rate of 2% per annum. Further, they should extend education loan at concessional rate of interest of 5% to the poorer sections, with interest subvention. -Business Line
 -#150619 
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ELI5ed version of India's Currency Crisis.

Alright people, here it is, I am now going to try and explain the whole rupee fall phenomenon as simply as I can. We're going to first try and discuss the concepts involved here and then look at what our policy makers have done. Here's hoping that you last till the end cause it was quite a lot of effort.
Why am I doing this?
I am tired of all the lame rupee fall jokes that flooded my WhatsApp last week. I am tired of all the people telling the government to 'Make it stop!' (Spoiler: It's not that simple). Also, I am going to get out in the job market soon and am too lazy to brush up my basics in a formal way. The prospect of educating fellow redditors makes it worth the effort.
Why should you read all of this?
Because you care and by the end of this, hopefully, you'll be able to talk about this in a smarter way which will potentially improve your chances with that girl.
It is likely that you may already know the answers to some of the questions here. Go right ahead and skip them because I am trying to do an ELI5 here.
Let's take it from the top.
What is a foreign exchange rate?
It is the rate at which one currency will be exchanged with another.
Why do foreign exchange rates exist?
Simply because the currency of one country will not be accepted in another. We have a lot of countries and we have a lot of currencies and judging by the feeds on facebook, people travel a lot.
Fun fact#1: The US dollar and the Euro account for approximately 50 percent of all currency exchange transactions in the world. Adding British pounds, Canadian dollars, Australian dollars, and Japanese yen to the list accounts for over 80 percent of currency exchanges altogether.
Who or what decides the exchange rate between two currencies?
On a fundamental level, The value of currency, like the price of any other good or service, depends on its demand and supply. And demand for a currency, say, the US dollar, typically comes from Indian importers, people or institutions that invest in the US and travellers to the US. All these agents require dollars for transacting in the US.
Analogously, exporters to the US, travellers to India and investor inflows supply US dollars in return for rupees to transact in India. If the demand for the rupee decreases compared to, say, the US dollar, the value of the rupee goes down, and vice-versa
So, it's all driven by market (buyers and sellers) forces?
No, There are other factors too. But we'll take them up when we're discussing the Indian context.
What role does something like RBI do in all this?
To understand this, we're going to dive into a little bit of theory. Broadly speaking, there are two ways of handling your currency's exchange rate:
A. The Floating Exchange Rate: The market determines a floating exchange rate. In other words, a currency is worth whatever buyers are willing to pay for it. This is determined by supply and demand, which is in turn driven by foreign investment, import/export ratios, inflation, and a host of other economic factors. Generally, countries with mature, stable economic markets will use a floating system. Virtually every major nation uses this system. Floating exchange rates are considered more efficient, because the market will automatically correct the rate to reflect inflation and other economic forces.
The floating system isn't perfect, though. If a country's economy suffers from instability, a floating system will discourage investment. Investors could fall victim to wild swings in the exchange rates, as well as disastrous inflation.
Did that previous paragraph ring a bell? Interestingly though, we don't follow a floating rate system.
Fun fact#2: Canada is the only country whose currency's value is determined absolutely and entirely by the foreign exchange market or as we just learned, by means of a 'floating exchange rate'. Their Central Bank has never intervened in years.
B. The Fixed or Pegged Exchange Rate: A pegged, or fixed system, is one in which the exchange rate is set and artificially maintained by the government. The rate will be pegged to some other country's dollar, usually the U.S. dollar. The rate will not fluctuate from day to day. You decree that 1 US Dollar will always be equal to 35 Rupees and that is it. Countries that have potentially unstable economies usually use a pegged system. Developing nations can use this system to prevent out-of control-inflation.
And now your thinking:
Holy shit! We can do that? Why aren't we doing that? Why don't we get our currency pegged as seen in the Fixed or Pegged Exchange Rate system?
For starters, the system can backfire. If the real world market value of the currency is not reflected by the pegged rate, a black market may spring up, where the currency will be traded at its market value, disregarding the government's peg. When people realize that their currency isn't worth as much as the pegged rate indicates, they may rush to exchange their money for other, more stable currencies. This can lead to economic disaster, since the sudden flood of currency in world markets drives the exchange rate very low. So if a country doesn't take good care of their pegged rate, they may find themselves with worthless currency.
To further explain, assume that the demand for US dollar increases. Consequently, its value increases, such that each dollar can now buy 10 rupees instead of 4 previously. To offset such an increase, the RBI pumps in sufficient amount of dollars into the market to meet the increased demand. This process ensures that the value of the dollar is restored to its original one. The central bank can supply and draw dollars from forex reserves, which is its official kitty.
Well, the problem is, we ain't got much forex reserves.
India’s forex reserves, which stand at $270 billion(As of the end of August, 2013) approximately, cannot defend the falling rupee eternally. To make sense out of that figure, let us assume that one bad day, all foreign investors in our country decide to take back their money (which is extremely unlikely). In that dire situation, the RBI would have to borrow to a tune of $215 million to pay them all back.
To make matters worse, the increasing oil imports and falling export share in the recent months have contributed significantly towards draining (the already concerning levels of) our forex reserves. The arguments above indicate that the RBI does not have sufficient cushion to strictly adhere to a fixed rate regime.
In fact, forex reserves are the only major 'reactionary tool' we have to prevent any speculation based downfall in the value of rupee.
So if Forex reserves are so damn important, why haven't we been building them up?
Actually, we have been trying to. Refer this graph. If you do a simple forex reserves News based search on Google, you'll find that the last month has seen a lot of ups and downs in it implying that the RBI is scrambling to plug the hole by raising and spending these reserves. But it's still not good enough.
But but...that is a good graph, why is it not good enough?
Enter Mr. CAD, the media's favourite buzzword
At the end of 2007, the Current Account Deficit(Mr. CAD) of India stood at $8 billion. If you refer the above graph, you'll notice that we had a forex reserve of around 300 billion by that time. That means our forex reserves were 37.5 times the CAD. For 2013, the current account deficit is at $90 billion whereas the foreign exchange reserves are down to around $270 billion. That's just around 3 times that of the CAD. That is an alarming fall.
What is a Current Account Deficit?
Occurs when a country's total imports of goods, services and transfers is greater than the country's total export of goods, services and transfers. This situation makes a country a net debtor to the rest of the world. So, evidently, it has an impact with your foreign exchange rates. A substantial current account deficit is not necessarily a bad thing for certain countries. Developing countries may run a current account deficit in the short term to increase local productivity and exports in the future.
Why is our Current Account Deficit so bad?
Simply because we get a lot of our stuff from the outside. The most significantly burdensome items that we import are Gold and Oil. The two of them together constitute almost 50% of our total imports!
Gold
No kidding, we Indians love the yellow metal. We are in fact the largest consumer of Gold in the world. No seriously, our country is single handedly responsible for upto 20% consumption of the worldwide gold consumption. It makes sense to us because not only can we show it off at social events, we can also readily sell it later. In effect, it's like a Saving from the perspective of the mango people. Most Indians are blithely unaware that gold is not locally sourced but actually imported from countries such as Switzerland and the United Arab Emirates.
Which is why we had Mr. Chidambaram 'appealing' to us. But nobody's going to listen to your appeals, Sir. My own financial security will always be more important than your CAD-MAD bullshit. Which is why we have steadily increased the import tariffs on Gold imports in an attempt to discourage gold consumption. Not very effective but it's something.
Make no mistake though, although it will be 'nice' to have people buy less gold this season, in the long run, it will save yo ass.
Fun Fact#3: "I have never bought gold at any point of time in my life. I don’t wear any jewelry — be it a ring or a chain, For me gold is just another metal, it just shines a little bit more.” - P. Chidambaram, Finance Minister of India - A country which is the largest consumer of Gold.
Contd as Comment Below Due to Character Restrictions. Continue Reading at 'Oil'
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Mann ki Baat - December edition

I wish I had good news, but it's not looking good, guise

1) India's manufacturing expansion at 25-month low: Survey

The growth of India's manufacturing economy dropped to its lowest in the past 25 months, mainly on account of a slower expansion of new business and overall output, according to a leading global business survey released on Tuesday.

2) Exports may fall below $300 bn by 2015-16 end

The government has set a target of $325 billion for the current financial year. It will be a happy situation if the country achieves exports of $300 billion but it (exports) will end less than $300 billion.”
Kapoor’s admission comes close on the heels of India’s exports contracting for the eleventh straight month in October.
Exports decline for 11th month in a row India's raw cotton exports dip 50% in 2014-15 India's soyameal exports at historic low: SEA Gems and Jewellery exports dip 18% during April-Oct

3) Rupee hits more than two-year low; RBI intervenes

he rupee hit a more than two-year low against the greenback on Friday as domestic shares fell after an underwhelming stimulus package from the European Central Bank, forcing the Reserve Bank of India to sell dollars via state-run banks.

4) India's services sector growth stagnates in November as sentiments hit 10-year low

Services sector output stagnated in November after four consecutive months of expansion, as business sentiments hit the lowest level in a decade and flow of new orders turned sluggish, a monthly survey showed Thursday.

5) The core industries in India grew at a sluggish rate of 3.2% in October 2015 as per the newly released data

As per the data released by the Union Ministry of Commerce and Industry on November 30, 2015 the output of 8 core industries increased 3.2% in the month of October 2015 slowing down from 9% growth recorded in October 2014. The core sector growth in the period April to October 2015 was recorded at 2.5% while a growth of 5.6% was recorded in the corresponding period April to October 2014.

6) Growth in foreign tourist arrivals at 3-year low

The National Democratic alliance government's move to hardsell India as a hot tourism destination is yet to show results. According to Union tourism ministry statistics, the growth in inbound travel (foreign tourists coming to India) is a modest four per cent this calendar year (till October), compared to the previous year. This is the slowest pace of growth in the past three years.
Union tourism minister Mahesh Sharma recently admitted that in 2011-12, foreign tourists used to stay for an average of 20-22 days in India which has now come down to 18-20 days

7) Outlook for India’s power sector remains negative: Moody’s

“Our outlook for the Indian power sector remains negative, because the industry faces persistent challenges, mainly resulting from high, albeit moderating, fuel supply risk, cost over-runs at some plants operated by independent power producers (IPPs), and the limited capacity to pay on the part of financially weak distribution utilities,” Moody’s said in a press release today.
Let's brainstorm, guise. Modiji seems to be outside his depth here. May be we can think of good ideas and then have the mods tweet it to PMO.
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India’s rising forex reserves amid Covid economic crisis - The Hindu Analysis  UPSC India's foreign exchange reserve at all time high, according to RBI Panama Papers: Who Went Offshore Before RBI Eased Forex Limit? Global Spillovers: Managing Capital Flows & Forex Reserves by Dr. Viral Acharya, RBI Forex reserves cross $500 bn for 1st time.By-Er.Mayank kala Forex Reserve break records over 500 Bn $ JAIIB  CAIIB  RBI explained by Kamal Sir How to prepare for Phase 2 Of RBI Grade B Exam

India is one of the few nations whose forex reserves are more than forex debt. The increase in FDI signals faith in the future of the economy, rather than a commentary on its present state. Lower ... Reasonable FX reserves accord the RBI the ability to steady the FX market with USD/INR sell buy swaps of US$4bn to fund recent FPI sales of US$6.1bn. In truth, this is not strictly necessary as ... Read more about India's forex reserves near $500 bn, but RBI won't let rupee rise: Experts on Business Standard. Analysts say the central bank is enhancing reserves to guard against a likely downgrade in India's credit rating or to ensure a bigger transfer of surplus to the revenue-starved government India is ranked 12th in the list of nations holding US bonds, surpassing Singapore. Economists say purchases of US treasuries by the RBI could surge in the weeks ahead as India’s forex reserves have gone past $500 billion. “RBI invests in US Treasury bonds not for yields but security,” said Madan Sabnavis, chief economist at Care Ratings ... Get the RBI Foreign Exchange Reserves Report results in real time as they're announced and see the immediate global market impact. The country’s foreign exchange reserves jumped by a massive $ 7.779 billion to touch a lifetime high of $ 568.494 billion in the week ended November 6, RBI data showed on Friday. In the previous week ended October 30, the reserves had increased by $ 183 million to $ 560.715 billion. In the reporting week, […] India forex reserves jump $7.78 billion to record high of $568.49 billion: RBI In the previous week ended October 30, the reserves had increased by USD 183 million to USD 560.715 billion PTI ...

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India’s rising forex reserves amid Covid economic crisis - The Hindu Analysis UPSC

Reserve Bank of India- functions and conduct of monetary policy, Banking System in India, Financial Institutions – SIDBI, EXIM, NABARD, NHB, etc. (b)Financial Markets India's foreign exchange reserve at all time high, according to RBI, Click for PDF - https://drive.google.com/open?id=1JM9yn5-JYCTMNP1uvT0hpL-l7ST635Sl Join ... In his monetary policy statement on May 22, RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das said, “India’s foreign exchange reserves have increased by $ 9.2 billion in 2020-21 so far (up to May 15) to $ 487.0 ... Indians had discovered the advantages of going offshore — setting up entities in tax havens — long before the government and Reserve Bank of India (RBI) allo... Topics Discussed: 1. Explained: The importance of India’s rising forex reserves amid Covid economic crisis 2. What are forex reserves? 3. Why are forex reser... Forex Reserve break records over 500 Bn $ JAIIB CAIIB RBI explained by Kamal Sir. A keynote address by Dr. Viral Acharya, Deputy Governor, RBI at NSE-NYU Conference on Indian Financial Markets on Dec 14, 2017.

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